Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 3.090939 3.321366 3.569780 3.859121 4.188985 4.555901 4.998552
2026-02-01 2.667241 2.962343 3.298849 3.716224 4.227704 4.844844 5.663478
2026-02-08 2.383622 2.696524 3.064876 3.538987 4.146375 4.918736 6.012055
2026-02-15 2.230138 2.562503 2.964592 3.499258 4.212360 5.165026 6.602762
2026-02-22 2.090841 2.430950 2.851089 3.424158 4.213554 5.312137 7.064467
2026-03-01 1.955854 2.293888 2.717998 3.307724 4.140553 5.337704 7.336043
2026-03-08 1.827592 2.157169 2.575426 3.165422 4.014498 5.265915 7.431750
2026-03-15 1.766352 2.102775 2.536357 3.160066 4.081447 5.488386 8.055497
2026-03-22 1.707567 2.047900 2.492457 3.143121 4.127193 5.679669 8.658908
2026-03-29 1.652081 1.994302 2.446675 3.119119 4.158117 5.847685 9.251313
2026-04-05 1.642081 2.000652 2.482765 3.215692 4.384456 6.374373 10.703319
2026-04-12 1.600924 1.962383 2.453866 3.212351 4.448182 6.621064 11.622269
2026-04-19 1.652596 2.059520 2.630184 3.548838 5.141716 8.228280 16.778074
2026-04-26 1.564592 1.957003 2.511124 3.411757 4.996248 8.140109 17.285550
2026-05-03 1.479618 1.855093 2.387668 3.258700 4.805779 7.924052 17.303691
2026-05-10 1.432209 1.804907 2.338713 3.223825 4.829539 8.183143 19.096131
2026-05-17 1.380549 1.746376 2.274112 3.158124 4.787580 8.285060 20.412523
2026-05-24 1.323272 1.677616 2.190941 3.055996 4.665684 8.178213 20.851716
2026-05-31 1.263616 1.603577 2.097001 2.930786 4.488980 7.914962 20.508215
2026-06-07 1.236799 1.576722 2.074414 2.926065 4.549956 8.250616 23.156692
2026-06-14 1.209208 1.547684 2.047057 2.911124 4.588535 8.538474 25.931026
2026-06-21 1.181783 1.517938 2.017276 2.889949 4.611963 8.792313 28.894011
2026-06-28 1.179525 1.525545 2.046460 2.975068 4.868891 9.767643 38.627736